Thursday May 26, 2016

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9 Comments on "Thursday May 26, 2016"


  1. Glad you cover oil. I’m doing a miserable job shorting oil. Will load up with DRIP etfs when oil is in the low 50s and starts its decline.

    BTW, will you be posting anywhere on your blog how you arrived at the 666 number for the S&P500 in 2022? I would love to see your analysis!!

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    1. Oil has looked weak past few days compared to markets. It may have topped.

      My prediction timing is based on solar cycles. Below 666 means a lower low compared to 2008. This is based largely on fractal playing out from the 1970s.

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  2. buyers are higher and sellers are lower imo. technicals nor fundamentals drive these mkts at this juncture. bears look really dumb (me included) ever since mid feb and claiming it’s an oversold bounce. it could be but unless one can get the timing to their trading time horizon then you are wrong unless one has unlimited capital. with that said bulls also were very wrong last year saying that a correction wasnt in the cards when in fact there were 2 corrections. it seems to me max pain is being inflicted to both bears and bulls. i am still biased (and still wrong) to the downside but have absolutely no idea how this price action will resolve itself as it could truly be in either direction.

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    1. There is a new all time high coming. Simple as that.

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      1. nothing is simple when it comes to investing or trading

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      2. Why so sure? Any technicals you would like to share with the class?

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        1. there are no guarantees in investing and trading. technicals is just part of the puzzle but i still feel it needs to be accompanied by fundamentals otherwise it isn’t effective at all for the long term. i believe some great investors have questioned if anyone truly became really rich who were only driven by technicals- to which i wholeheartedly i agree. it seems to me that it’s always hindsight and people try to fit a narrative after the fact and using correlation as causation when it fact it is preposterous. very few people talk about their mistakes or their wrong calls when it fact that is what one should be concentrating instead of only talking about their cherry picked winners. i rather pay/subscribe to someone who is willing to talk more about their bad calls and process in risk management instead of cherry picking their few winners amongst a myriad of losers only after the fact. i know of a couple but unfortunately very few service/subscription like that.

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        2. Why even bother?

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    2. Rolling over into a bear market and THEY have to correct higher from time to time to make money off the shorts.

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